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2021-10-31

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 22.2% 77.8% -
Bradley-Terry 33.2% 66.8% -
Margin 33.2% 66.8% +3.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% -
Efficiency 69.8% 30.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% -
Log Adjusted 63.8% 36.2% -
Points Off/Def 54.9% 45.1% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +8 (107-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 35 9-27 2-11 10-10 7 6 0 1 30 - -
Royce O'Neale * 34 3-5 1-3 0-0 3 2 3 0 7 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 32 5-14 2-6 2-2 9 2 1 0 14 - -
Rudy Gobert * 32 7-9 0-0 3-4 19 1 1 3 17 - -
Joe Ingles * 31 3-9 3-8 0-0 6 2 0 0 9 - -
Jordan Clarkson 29 5-19 3-9 3-3 2 1 0 0 16 - -
Hassan Whiteside 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 4 - -
Eric Paschall 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Jared Butler 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Trent Forrest 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 35 13-22 0-1 6-6 6 3 0 0 32 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 34 4-19 2-6 6-8 12 2 1 0 16 - -
Zach LaVine * 34 9-19 1-4 7-8 5 5 0 0 26 - -
Lonzo Ball * 33 4-11 1-6 2-2 5 2 4 0 11 - -
Javonte Green * 22 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Alex Caruso 24 3-6 0-0 1-2 4 3 1 0 7 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 20 1-6 1-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 18 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 3 4 - -
Tony Bradley 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter