🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 19.6% 80.4% -
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% -
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -
Efficiency 45.3% 54.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% -
Log Adjusted 46.8% 53.2% -
Points Off/Def 43.0% 57.0% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +7 (110-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cole Anthony * 35 6-11 3-4 0-0 10 3 0 0 15 17 -
Mo Bamba * 29 4-5 2-2 0-0 3 2 0 2 10 12 -
Franz Wagner * 28 8-15 3-6 0-0 3 2 1 0 19 10 -
Jalen Suggs * 26 3-13 0-4 4-4 5 6 2 1 10 11 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 16 3-9 1-1 1-2 6 2 0 1 8 8 -
Terrence Ross 24 0-5 0-3 3-3 3 1 1 2 3 5 -
R.J. Hampton 19 4-7 1-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 11 9 -
Gary Harris 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 3 -
Moritz Wagner 17 4-7 4-6 1-4 5 1 0 0 13 12 -
Chuma Okeke 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 -
Ignas Brazdeikis 7 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 5 -
Mychal Mulder 3 1-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 35 6-14 1-6 9-10 7 5 1 0 22 21 -
Saddiq Bey * 33 4-17 3-8 2-2 7 1 1 1 13 6 -
Isaiah Stewart * 21 5-8 0-1 1-2 8 0 2 1 11 14 -
Killian Hayes * 21 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 2 -
Cade Cunningham * 18 1-8 0-5 0-0 7 2 0 1 2 4 -
Kelly Olynyk 27 6-12 3-6 3-5 6 4 3 2 18 21 -
Cory Joseph 26 3-6 2-3 3-4 1 6 2 0 11 14 -
Josh Jackson 23 5-8 3-5 0-1 7 2 2 1 13 17 -
Frank Jackson 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 7 -
Trey Lyles 12 3-8 0-3 6-6 1 2 0 0 12 7 -

* = starter