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2021-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 83.1% 16.9% -
Bradley-Terry 75.8% 24.2% -
Margin 90.1% 9.9% -12.2 (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.8% 41.2% -
Efficiency 78.2% 21.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.7% 22.3% -
Log Adjusted 77.7% 22.3% -
Points Off/Def 66.0% 34.0% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +3 (115-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 47 14-24 0-5 6-7 6 2 1 1 34 - -
Jayson Tatum * 45 10-32 0-5 7-7 15 3 2 1 27 - -
Dennis Schroder * 42 1-7 0-3 4-6 4 9 3 0 6 - -
Al Horford * 40 4-9 0-1 0-0 10 5 1 6 8 - -
Grant Williams * 24 2-5 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 1 6 - -
Josh Richardson 36 7-15 1-4 3-3 3 0 1 1 18 - -
Payton Pritchard 18 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Romeo Langford 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Jabari Parker 12 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Enes Kanter 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 47 6-14 2-4 3-7 17 1 0 2 17 - -
Bradley Beal * 46 12-32 3-8 9-9 7 6 2 1 36 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 41 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 4 2 1 2 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 39 6-18 1-7 7-8 9 4 1 0 20 - -
Montrezl Harrell * 35 6-14 1-3 7-8 14 1 0 1 20 - -
Deni Avdija 24 1-4 0-1 1-2 7 0 0 2 3 - -
Davis Bertans 21 2-10 2-9 1-1 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Raul Neto 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 - -
Aaron Holiday 11 2-3 1-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Corey Kispert 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter