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2021-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 64.2% 35.8% -
Bradley-Terry 56.7% 43.3% -
Margin 68.8% 31.2% -4.4 (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% -
Efficiency 65.4% 34.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% -
Log Adjusted 63.7% 36.3% -
Points Off/Def 54.5% 45.5% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +12 (113-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 36 10-16 1-2 2-5 6 3 2 0 23 - -
Darius Garland * 32 6-14 3-9 3-4 1 11 1 0 18 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 31 7-14 3-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 17 - -
Jarrett Allen * 31 2-3 0-0 2-4 9 3 1 1 6 - -
Collin Sexton * 31 2-9 0-2 5-6 3 3 2 0 9 - -
Ricky Rubio 31 6-15 3-8 3-3 6 4 3 0 18 - -
Lamar Stevens 20 1-7 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 - -
Kevin Love 16 2-7 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Dylan Windler 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ed Davis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Dean Wade 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 2 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 37 10-22 1-10 5-5 3 8 3 1 26 - -
Russell Westbrook * 34 8-13 1-1 2-3 6 5 0 0 19 - -
Anthony Davis * 31 7-14 1-2 0-0 9 3 1 3 15 - -
Kent Bazemore * 28 2-7 0-2 0-0 2 2 3 0 4 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 4 - -
Carmelo Anthony 24 9-12 6-8 0-0 5 1 0 0 24 - -
Avery Bradley 23 3-5 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Austin Reaves 20 2-4 1-2 2-2 3 2 0 1 7 - -
Dwight Howard 19 3-4 1-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 7 - -
Malik Monk 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter