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2021-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% -
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% -
Margin 46.9% 53.1% +0.7 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -
Efficiency 30.9% 69.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% -
Log Adjusted 32.9% 67.1% -
Points Off/Def 34.9% 65.1% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -4 (109-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 36 5-9 2-3 6-6 12 2 0 0 18 23 -
De'Aaron Fox * 36 9-21 1-7 4-4 7 5 0 0 23 14 -
Richaun Holmes * 31 7-8 0-0 7-7 6 1 0 1 21 21 -
Tyrese Haliburton * 31 7-12 1-2 2-3 2 8 0 1 17 16 -
Maurice Harkless * 24 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 5 -
Davion Mitchell 29 3-9 2-7 0-0 2 1 2 0 8 4 -
Buddy Hield 29 6-11 3-7 5-5 6 1 2 0 20 18 -
Alex Len 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 4 5 -
Terence Davis 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 35 9-22 2-6 2-4 6 6 0 0 22 12 -
Devonte' Graham * 33 4-16 4-11 4-5 3 2 2 0 16 7 -
Jonas Valanciunas * 32 10-14 1-2 3-6 13 1 2 2 24 28 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 28 5-16 1-7 0-0 4 2 1 2 11 4 -
Herbert Jones * 24 5-8 0-0 2-2 1 0 2 0 12 7 -
Josh Hart 22 3-6 0-2 0-2 5 3 1 1 6 10 -
Trey Murphy III 22 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 2 -
Jaxson Hayes 14 3-8 0-2 3-4 6 0 0 1 9 8 -
Kira Lewis Jr. 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 6 -
Naji Marshall 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 2 1 0 4 9 -

* = starter