Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.7% | 80.3% | +7.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +15 (114-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 37 | 9-21 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 37 | 8-15 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 36 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 30 | 2-14 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 29 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 17 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 12-19 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 36 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 4-14 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 31 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 19 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 19 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter