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2021-10-29

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 18.8% 81.2% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 37.5% 62.5% +2.8 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -
Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
Log Adjusted 44.8% 55.2% -
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -3 (101-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 41 11-22 2-8 6-6 7 5 4 0 30 24 -
Desmond Bane * 38 7-16 5-11 0-0 6 2 1 0 19 12 -
De'Anthony Melton * 34 3-10 1-6 0-0 6 3 4 3 7 13 -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 31 5-16 3-10 2-2 8 1 1 1 15 10 -
Steven Adams * 21 4-6 0-0 4-4 7 2 2 1 12 18 -
Kyle Anderson 29 3-7 0-1 2-2 9 3 0 2 8 15 -
Xavier Tillman 22 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 4 7 -
Ziaire Williams 20 2-9 0-7 0-0 1 1 1 2 4 0 -
Tyus Jones 17 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 4 2 0 5 9 -
John Konchar 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 1 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 40 11-29 7-20 7-7 7 8 1 0 36 23 -
Andrew Wiggins * 37 7-15 1-4 1-2 4 1 1 1 16 8 -
Draymond Green * 37 2-5 0-0 0-0 12 7 3 5 4 26 -
Jordan Poole * 23 4-9 0-2 1-1 2 3 1 0 9 6 -
Kevon Looney * 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 4 -
Damion Lee 32 5-12 4-9 0-0 6 0 0 0 14 8 -
Andre Iguodala 25 1-5 0-1 0-2 6 2 1 1 2 7 -
Otto Porter Jr. 19 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 8 8 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 4 5 -
Nemanja Bjelica 13 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 4 6 -
Gary Payton II 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter