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2021-10-29

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 38.4% 61.6% -
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% -
Margin 53.6% 46.4% -0.8 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -
Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Log Adjusted 49.2% 50.8% -
Points Off/Def 44.1% 55.9% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -1 (103-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 34 3-11 0-2 7-10 16 9 1 0 13 - -
RJ Barrett * 33 8-15 1-3 3-3 3 1 1 0 20 - -
Evan Fournier * 32 4-14 2-8 0-0 3 1 0 1 10 - -
Kemba Walker * 29 7-12 5-6 2-3 4 2 2 0 21 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 28 4-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 2 9 - -
Taj Gibson 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 3 6 - -
Derrick Rose 18 5-10 1-3 1-1 4 1 0 0 12 - -
Alec Burks 17 2-6 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Obi Toppin 13 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 1 5 - -
Immanuel Quickley 12 1-7 0-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 35 8-13 3-5 3-4 8 6 1 0 22 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 34 7-18 1-4 5-5 3 5 2 1 20 - -
Zach LaVine * 34 7-17 2-6 9-9 6 3 0 1 25 - -
Lonzo Ball * 33 2-8 1-6 1-2 6 4 0 1 6 - -
Patrick Williams * 16 2-5 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 6 - -
Alex Caruso 32 4-10 2-6 0-0 0 6 2 0 10 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 17 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Javonte Green 16 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 2 5 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Tony Bradley 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Alize Johnson 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter