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2021-10-28

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 66.5% 33.5% -
Bradley-Terry 60.2% 39.8% -
Margin 70.0% 30.0% -4.7 (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 53.6% 46.4% -
Efficiency 64.9% 35.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.5% 36.5% -
Log Adjusted 63.5% 36.5% -
Points Off/Def 55.0% 45.0% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +11 (122-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Collins * 38 14-16 0-0 0-0 12 3 0 0 28 27 -
Trae Young * 34 6-17 1-5 2-3 3 13 2 1 15 17 -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 33 6-11 1-4 1-1 6 4 1 0 14 14 -
De'Andre Hunter * 30 4-9 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 10 6 -
Clint Capela * 23 5-7 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 11 10 -
Cam Reddish 26 8-14 1-5 3-4 3 0 1 1 20 11 -
Danilo Gallinari 18 2-4 1-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
Kevin Huerter 14 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 1 -
Lou Williams 7 2-4 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 5 4 -
Gorgui Dieng 6 0-1 0-0 0-2 5 1 0 0 0 5 -
Delon Wright 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 39 8-17 2-6 3-6 8 0 3 0 21 15 -
Bradley Beal * 37 11-26 1-4 4-4 8 8 0 1 27 18 -
Montrezl Harrell * 34 10-16 0-2 5-5 13 5 2 1 25 30 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 29 7-10 5-7 2-3 8 2 0 1 21 22 -
Aaron Holiday * 24 3-6 1-2 0-0 0 4 0 0 7 5 -
Raul Neto 23 3-7 0-2 0-0 5 5 1 0 6 10 -
Deni Avdija 22 1-8 1-4 2-2 5 1 0 0 5 3 -
Davis Bertans 18 3-7 3-6 1-1 1 0 0 0 10 4 -
Corey Kispert 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 3 -

* = starter