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2021-10-28

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% -
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 32.5% 67.5% -
Efficiency 15.4% 84.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% -
Log Adjusted 17.8% 82.2% -
Points Off/Def 23.7% 76.3% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +8 (110-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 36 4-14 1-5 5-7 6 3 4 1 14 - -
Saddiq Bey * 34 7-14 4-9 1-4 6 2 0 0 19 - -
Killian Hayes * 31 4-11 1-4 0-0 5 4 2 1 9 - -
Josh Jackson * 24 3-9 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 7 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 1 4 - -
Kelly Olynyk 25 3-8 1-3 7-8 5 3 2 1 14 - -
Frank Jackson 23 3-7 2-5 1-1 1 1 1 0 9 - -
Cory Joseph 16 3-5 0-2 3-4 1 1 2 0 9 - -
Trey Lyles 14 3-6 1-3 2-3 4 2 0 0 9 - -
Hamidou Diallo 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Luka Garza 4 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 36 7-13 1-4 2-2 6 1 0 2 17 - -
Seth Curry * 31 4-7 2-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 12 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 31 6-8 2-2 2-2 6 6 0 2 16 - -
Joel Embiid * 30 8-19 1-4 13-15 18 3 1 0 30 - -
Danny Green * 28 0-5 0-5 0-0 1 1 2 2 0 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 18 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 2 1 1 7 - -
Shake Milton 16 5-10 2-3 1-1 1 5 0 1 13 - -
Matisse Thybulle 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 3 3 0 5 - -
Georges Niang 15 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Andre Drummond 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter