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2021-10-28

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 34.5% 65.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.4% 49.6% - โœ“
Margin 57.1% 42.9% -1.6 โœ“ (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 55.3% 44.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 54.3% 45.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.5% 52.5% - โœ—

Actual: LA Clippers -13 (79-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Sexton * 37 12-20 0-4 2-3 7 1 3 0 26 - -
Evan Mobley * 34 3-10 0-0 6-6 10 0 1 2 12 - -
Jarrett Allen * 31 2-7 0-1 0-2 8 0 1 1 4 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 28 2-7 0-4 3-3 9 1 1 0 7 - -
Darius Garland * 27 5-8 2-3 4-4 4 6 1 0 16 - -
Ricky Rubio 27 6-13 0-3 3-3 3 3 0 0 15 - -
Kevin Love 23 2-9 1-3 5-6 10 1 1 0 10 - -
Lamar Stevens 21 1-6 0-2 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 - -
Cedi Osman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Pangos 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dylan Windler 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ed Davis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 34 6-20 0-8 0-0 10 1 4 0 12 - -
Reggie Jackson * 33 6-15 3-8 1-1 4 3 1 0 16 - -
Nicolas Batum * 32 6-14 3-9 1-3 4 2 1 0 16 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 26 2-7 0-3 2-2 3 3 3 0 6 - -
Ivica Zubac * 24 4-6 0-0 3-5 4 1 0 1 11 - -
Luke Kennard 32 2-9 2-8 0-0 3 3 1 0 6 - -
Terance Mann 25 3-9 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 7 - -
Justise Winslow 14 1-3 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 1 2 - -
Amir Coffey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter