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2021-10-28

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 17.6% 82.4% -
Bradley-Terry 58.2% 41.8% -
Margin 74.5% 25.5% -5.9 (25.9 off)
Pythagorean 67.8% 32.2% -
Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.7% 14.3% -
Log Adjusted 85.8% 14.2% -
Points Off/Def 75.3% 24.7% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +20 (116-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 31 5-12 3-6 4-5 9 10 1 0 17 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 25 0-8 0-5 0-2 7 1 2 1 0 - -
Desmond Bane * 23 7-12 4-7 1-1 3 1 1 1 19 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 18 3-13 1-7 0-0 2 4 0 0 7 - -
Steven Adams * 17 2-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 4 - -
Kyle Anderson 22 2-6 1-2 1-2 6 3 1 0 6 - -
Ziaire Williams 18 1-3 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 5 - -
John Konchar 16 3-5 1-2 0-2 7 4 1 0 7 - -
Brandon Clarke 15 3-4 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Tyus Jones 15 3-6 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 8 - -
Sam Merrill 12 2-6 2-6 0-0 0 2 0 0 6 - -
Xavier Tillman 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 3 - -
Santi Aldama 5 3-6 1-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Jarrett Culver 5 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Killian Tillie 5 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 32 8-21 4-9 5-6 6 2 2 1 25 - -
Damian Lillard * 32 6-22 4-11 4-4 3 10 1 0 20 - -
Robert Covington * 27 1-4 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 - -
Nassir Little * 26 3-4 0-1 3-3 6 0 1 1 9 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 23 6-8 0-1 5-8 8 0 3 1 17 - -
Anfernee Simons 28 6-10 5-7 0-0 3 2 2 0 17 - -
Cody Zeller 24 3-4 0-0 4-6 7 1 0 0 10 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 18 1-2 1-1 2-4 3 5 0 1 5 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 15 4-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 8 - -
Greg Brown III 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 - -
CJ Elleby 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter