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2021-10-28

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 14.1% 85.9% -
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% -
Margin 18.3% 81.7% +8.2 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.7% 45.3% -
Efficiency 64.6% 35.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.3% 38.7% -
Log Adjusted 61.4% 38.6% -
Points Off/Def 53.1% 46.9% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +8 (123-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 36 12-22 0-1 6-7 8 2 1 0 30 - -
Russell Westbrook * 34 8-20 2-8 2-3 14 13 1 0 20 - -
Malik Monk * 32 4-8 1-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 9 - -
Kent Bazemore * 27 4-6 3-5 0-0 2 4 1 0 11 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 12 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 6 - -
Carmelo Anthony 30 5-14 1-8 2-2 3 1 2 0 13 - -
Austin Reaves 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Avery Bradley 16 5-7 3-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 13 - -
Rajon Rondo 16 3-7 1-2 0-0 1 6 1 0 7 - -
Dwight Howard 14 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 4 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 37 7-19 5-11 8-10 9 5 0 0 27 - -
Luguentz Dort * 33 5-12 1-3 6-6 6 0 1 0 17 - -
Josh Giddey * 32 7-13 2-5 2-3 2 10 1 0 18 - -
Darius Bazley * 31 8-14 4-8 0-0 6 2 4 1 20 - -
Derrick Favors * 25 7-8 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 15 - -
Kenrich Williams 19 2-4 1-2 0-2 4 0 1 0 5 - -
Isaiah Roby 16 4-5 1-1 4-4 2 1 0 1 13 - -
Ty Jerome 14 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 - -
Theo Maledon 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tre Mann 5 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Gabriel Deck 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter