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2021-10-27

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 60.9% 39.1% -
Bradley-Terry 54.7% 45.3% -
Margin 57.1% 42.9% -1.6 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -
Efficiency 56.0% 44.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.4% 46.6% -
Log Adjusted 53.3% 46.7% -
Points Off/Def 48.4% 51.6% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -3 (99-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 36 13-27 2-6 3-3 5 7 0 0 31 16 -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 31 4-12 2-6 2-2 3 3 0 1 12 7 -
De'Andre Hunter * 29 5-10 1-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 13 6 -
Clint Capela * 29 2-8 0-0 1-2 12 1 1 3 5 14 -
John Collins * 25 8-11 0-1 0-0 12 4 0 0 16 21 -
Kevin Huerter 23 1-8 0-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 -2 -
Cam Reddish 23 1-5 1-4 2-2 1 2 1 0 5 4 -
Danilo Gallinari 19 3-8 1-4 2-4 7 0 1 0 9 9 -
Delon Wright 11 3-5 1-1 0-0 5 3 0 0 7 10 -
Gorgui Dieng 10 0-2 0-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 5 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 38 8-21 3-7 1-1 8 4 1 2 20 14 -
Jonas Valanciunas * 35 6-14 0-0 4-4 15 3 1 1 16 22 -
Devonte' Graham * 31 8-17 5-10 0-0 5 6 1 0 21 16 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 30 3-14 0-7 0-0 3 3 0 1 6 -1 -
Herbert Jones * 22 3-4 1-1 1-2 1 1 0 1 8 7 -
Trey Murphy III 25 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 8 4 -
Naji Marshall 19 0-4 0-4 0-0 6 4 1 0 0 7 -
Kira Lewis Jr. 16 3-5 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 6 5 -
Jaxson Hayes 11 3-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 8 8 -
Garrett Temple 8 3-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 6 3 -

* = starter