Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets -13 (93-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 37 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 25 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 31 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 31 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 30 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 27 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 17 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Max Strus | 12 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 23 | - | |
| James Harden * | 35 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 34 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - | |
| Joe Harris * | 33 | 5-15 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - | |
| Blake Griffin * | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Patty Mills | 31 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge | 11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Cam Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter