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2021-10-27

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 9.2% 90.8% -
Bradley-Terry 15.2% 84.8% -
Margin 5.0% 95.0% +16.2 (25.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% -
Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% -
Log Adjusted 16.3% 83.7% -
Points Off/Def 23.0% 77.0% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -9 (107-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 35 7-25 0-6 3-3 10 2 3 1 17 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 33 4-11 1-5 3-6 8 2 2 1 12 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 31 4-6 3-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 11 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 29 8-16 2-5 4-4 3 3 1 0 22 - -
Daniel Gafford * 7 1-1 0-0 1-3 4 0 1 1 3 - -
Montrezl Harrell 38 10-13 0-0 5-7 11 1 0 2 25 - -
Aaron Holiday 18 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 1 9 - -
Davis Bertans 17 3-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Deni Avdija 16 2-2 1-1 3-4 2 2 0 1 8 - -
Corey Kispert 12 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 37 5-16 1-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 13 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 9-22 1-8 4-8 7 2 0 0 23 - -
Marcus Smart * 35 1-7 1-5 4-4 2 3 3 0 7 - -
Robert Williams III * 30 6-8 0-0 1-2 11 1 1 4 13 - -
Al Horford * 26 7-12 2-4 0-0 11 4 1 1 16 - -
Dennis Schroder 34 6-15 4-6 6-6 1 6 2 0 22 - -
Grant Williams 15 0-2 0-1 6-6 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Josh Richardson 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Jabari Parker 9 3-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 7 - -

* = starter