Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.5% | 34.5% | -3.5 | ✗ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +12 (122-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 38 | 5-18 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 36 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 35 | 8-13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 9-13 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 15 | 8-9 | 3-3 | 5-7 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| P.J. Dozier | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 34 | 9-20 | 1-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 33 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 9-16 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 30 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 28 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 27 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 23 | 7-15 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jared Butler | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter