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2021-10-27

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 14.0% 86.0% -
Bradley-Terry 44.4% 55.6% -
Margin 37.9% 62.1% +2.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.3% 65.7% -
Log Adjusted 34.2% 65.8% -
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -4 (121-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 42 15-31 0-4 5-6 17 4 0 4 35 - -
Russell Westbrook * 39 15-27 1-4 2-4 10 8 3 0 33 - -
Malik Monk * 38 6-15 4-10 1-2 1 3 1 0 17 - -
Kent Bazemore * 31 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 1 2 1 5 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 15 3-4 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 2 7 - -
Carmelo Anthony 30 1-7 0-4 2-2 4 0 0 1 4 - -
Austin Reaves 30 3-5 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Rajon Rondo 19 4-9 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 8 - -
Dwight Howard 17 1-1 0-0 4-4 8 0 1 2 6 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 40 9-24 2-4 1-4 12 15 2 2 21 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 37 13-17 0-0 1-5 14 0 1 3 27 - -
Derrick White * 31 3-10 1-6 0-0 5 6 1 1 7 - -
Keldon Johnson * 23 2-10 0-3 7-8 6 1 0 0 11 - -
Doug McDermott * 17 2-8 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Devin Vassell 35 7-16 5-9 0-2 7 2 2 0 19 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 31 7-10 5-7 2-2 2 6 0 0 21 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 29 3-7 0-1 0-0 7 0 2 0 6 - -
Drew Eubanks 12 2-4 0-1 1-1 4 2 2 0 5 - -
Thaddeus Young 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Bryn Forbes 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter