Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (116-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Wood * | 36 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 35 | 4-16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 27 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 34 | 10-25 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 29 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 19 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 28 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 17 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 16 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 9 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter