Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.0% | 61.0% | +2.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -8 (98-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 32 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 32 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 7-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 30 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 29 | 5-14 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 25 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Andre Iguodala | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Otto Porter Jr. | 17 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Chiozza | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 11-19 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 27 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 24 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 23 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 18 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter