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2021-10-26

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 49.8% 50.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% - ✓
Margin 30.5% 69.5% +4.5 ✓ (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% - ✓
Efficiency 56.0% 44.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 53.6% 46.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 48.5% 51.5% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks +13 (112-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 33 10-18 2-6 1-1 9 9 0 0 23 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 30 3-9 0-3 1-1 2 3 1 0 7 - -
Joel Embiid * 30 2-7 0-2 10-11 6 3 1 1 14 - -
Seth Curry * 29 2-6 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Danny Green * 23 4-8 4-8 0-0 2 0 2 1 12 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 24 3-12 2-8 1-2 3 3 2 0 9 - -
Georges Niang 22 5-7 3-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 13 - -
Matisse Thybulle 19 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 2 6 - -
Andre Drummond 14 2-5 0-0 2-2 9 2 1 0 6 - -
Isaiah Joe 7 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Paul Reed 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Charles Bassey 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 36 7-18 2-5 0-0 11 7 0 0 16 - -
Evan Fournier * 32 6-10 4-6 2-2 2 4 0 1 18 - -
RJ Barrett * 31 4-10 2-4 0-0 7 1 0 0 10 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 28 3-3 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 0 7 - -
Kemba Walker * 28 7-15 5-11 0-0 3 5 2 1 19 - -
Taj Gibson 19 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 4 - -
Derrick Rose 19 4-7 1-2 4-4 3 1 1 1 13 - -
Alec Burks 17 2-7 1-3 3-3 5 1 1 0 8 - -
Immanuel Quickley 15 2-5 1-3 3-3 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Obi Toppin 11 4-7 0-1 1-1 4 2 2 1 9 - -

* = starter