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2021-10-26

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 36.8% 63.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% - ✓
Margin 19.7% 80.3% +7.7 ✓ (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 32.5% 67.5% - ✓
Efficiency 17.5% 82.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 20.1% 79.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 25.6% 74.4% - ✓

Actual: LA Clippers +30 (116-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 32 7-16 4-11 2-2 4 4 2 1 20 - -
Nassir Little * 31 4-7 2-4 0-0 4 1 2 2 10 - -
Damian Lillard * 27 4-15 0-8 4-4 3 3 0 0 12 - -
Robert Covington * 23 0-3 0-2 0-0 6 1 3 0 0 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 23 2-6 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 4 - -
Anfernee Simons 20 5-13 1-6 1-1 4 1 0 0 12 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 20 3-7 0-0 1-2 2 3 3 1 7 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 18 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Cody Zeller 13 2-4 0-0 4-6 3 0 1 0 8 - -
Ben McLemore 10 1-4 0-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -
CJ Elleby 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Greg Brown III 8 2-3 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 0 4 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 26 6-16 2-8 2-2 0 5 8 1 16 - -
Reggie Jackson * 26 6-20 3-15 3-4 5 4 0 0 18 - -
Ivica Zubac * 24 5-6 0-0 0-0 8 4 2 0 10 - -
Nicolas Batum * 22 1-2 0-1 0-0 6 1 2 0 2 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 22 2-8 0-4 1-2 5 7 1 0 5 - -
Terance Mann 24 5-6 1-2 2-2 5 5 4 1 13 - -
Luke Kennard 24 8-10 6-7 1-1 4 3 0 1 23 - -
Justise Winslow 21 3-9 0-1 0-0 3 4 3 2 6 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 17 4-4 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 1 9 - -
Amir Coffey 12 1-3 1-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Jay Scrubb 8 2-6 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Brandon Boston Jr. 8 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter