Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -12 (87-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrett Allen * | 36 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 27 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 24 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio | 24 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 20 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevin Pangos | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lamar Stevens | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dylan Windler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Denzel Valentine | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 9-15 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 31 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 28 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 27 | 4-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 10 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 10 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| P.J. Dozier | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Petr Cornelie | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter