🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-10-25

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 38.9% 61.1% -
Bradley-Terry 43.5% 56.5% -
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% -
Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.6% 60.4% -
Log Adjusted 39.6% 60.4% -
Points Off/Def 38.4% 61.6% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -3 (108-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 38 5-11 5-9 0-0 3 5 2 1 15 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 35 7-19 2-4 10-10 4 6 0 0 26 - -
Zach LaVine * 35 7-16 3-7 5-5 4 5 1 0 22 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 33 8-15 0-2 1-2 8 2 3 0 17 - -
Patrick Williams * 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 2 4 - -
Alex Caruso 27 2-4 1-1 3-3 2 2 4 0 8 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 16 5-9 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Alize Johnson 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Javonte Green 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 42 6-13 1-4 2-2 6 17 2 0 15 - -
Scottie Barnes * 39 6-8 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 1 13 - -
OG Anunoby * 38 8-17 4-8 2-2 8 5 2 0 22 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 36 7-15 4-9 0-0 5 1 0 0 18 - -
Precious Achiuwa * 28 4-12 1-2 2-4 11 2 0 0 11 - -
Khem Birch 18 5-7 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Goran Dragic 13 1-6 0-3 6-6 4 0 1 0 8 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Dalano Banton 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Chris Boucher 4 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter