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2021-10-25

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 44.7% 55.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% - ✓
Margin 24.7% 75.3% +6.1 ✓ (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - ✓
Efficiency 32.1% 67.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 31.2% 68.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 31.1% 68.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% - ✓

Actual: Brooklyn Nets +14 (104-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 31 8-22 3-13 0-0 3 4 0 0 19 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 26 3-11 0-5 0-0 13 2 0 0 6 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 25 3-13 2-6 2-2 5 6 0 1 10 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 24 5-11 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 11 - -
Daniel Gafford * 22 4-8 0-0 5-5 5 0 0 1 13 - -
Montrezl Harrell 21 4-7 0-0 2-5 7 1 1 1 10 - -
Davis Bertans 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Deni Avdija 19 0-6 0-4 2-2 7 2 0 1 2 - -
Aaron Holiday 18 3-7 2-2 3-4 4 0 1 0 11 - -
Raul Neto 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Isaiah Todd 4 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Corey Kispert 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -
Joel Ayayi 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 34 9-17 1-2 6-9 8 4 2 0 25 - -
Bruce Brown * 30 6-10 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 14 - -
Joe Harris * 30 3-12 3-11 2-2 8 2 0 0 11 - -
James Harden * 30 5-17 1-8 3-3 6 9 1 1 14 - -
Blake Griffin * 18 1-7 0-1 0-0 9 0 0 0 2 - -
Patty Mills 22 8-14 5-9 0-0 2 3 1 0 21 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 18 3-5 0-0 1-1 3 1 2 1 7 - -
Nic Claxton 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 6 - -
Jevon Carter 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Paul Millsap 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -
James Johnson 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Day'Ron Sharpe 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Cam Thomas 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter