Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +18 (122-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 33 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson * | 32 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 29 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 26 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 15 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 14 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jamorko Pickett | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 32 | 13-21 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 27 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 25 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 23 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 27 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sharife Cooper | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter