Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.9% | 44.1% | -1.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -10 (109-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 36 | 10-18 | 0-2 | 10-13 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 32 | 9-17 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 31 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| George Hill * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 31 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Justin Robinson | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Georgios Kalaitzakis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Holiday * | 37 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 37 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 37 | 10-21 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 33 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 14 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 22 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 17 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 15 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter