Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.4% | 15.6% | -9.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -11 (129-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 41 | 14-28 | 6-12 | 7-7 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 41 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 38 | 3-12 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 37 | 12-20 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 36 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 7-8 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 24 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jabari Parker | 17 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 42 | 6-16 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Miles Bridges * | 38 | 11-22 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 32 | 7-19 | 7-14 | 4-4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 22 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter