Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.5% | 30.5% | -4.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -12 (107-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 35 | 9-23 | 4-15 | 5-6 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 24 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 31 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 31 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - | |
| Otto Porter Jr. | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - | |
| Damion Lee | 22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 17 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 9 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 36 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 19 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 34 | 8-16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - | |
| Maurice Harkless * | 22 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 32 | 9-16 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 11 | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 25 | 2-11 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Terence Davis | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter