Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.4% | 25.6% | -5.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -10 (97-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 36 | 12-24 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 33 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 29 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 8-9 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 30 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 18 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 15 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 11 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 36 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 35 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 8-10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 35 | 11-18 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 26 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter