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2021-10-24

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 49.2% 50.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 62.4% 37.6% - ✗
Margin 72.5% 27.5% -5.3 ✗ (34.3 off)
Pythagorean 68.6% 31.4% - ✗
Efficiency 88.0% 12.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 86.6% 13.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 86.7% 13.3% - ✗
Points Off/Def 75.9% 24.1% - ✗

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +29 (134-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 28 9-19 2-5 1-2 4 4 2 0 21 - -
Mikal Bridges * 25 5-9 4-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 14 - -
Deandre Ayton * 25 3-6 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 1 8 - -
Chris Paul * 25 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 11 1 0 4 - -
Jae Crowder * 23 2-7 1-4 2-2 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Elfrid Payton 24 6-11 0-1 2-2 4 6 1 0 14 - -
Abdel Nader 17 2-7 0-3 2-2 3 0 1 0 6 - -
Landry Shamet 17 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Cameron Johnson 14 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
JaVale McGee 11 6-9 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 12 - -
Frank Kaminsky 9 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Jalen Smith 9 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Chandler Hutchison 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 29 10-19 6-11 2-2 3 1 1 3 28 - -
Robert Covington * 25 2-4 2-4 0-0 6 0 1 1 6 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 25 4-7 0-2 1-2 12 3 2 0 9 - -
Damian Lillard * 24 6-11 2-7 5-5 1 8 0 0 19 - -
Norman Powell * 12 6-8 2-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 16 - -
Nassir Little 27 5-10 1-4 0-2 7 2 1 0 11 - -
Anfernee Simons 24 7-14 4-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 18 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 21 3-3 2-2 0-0 2 0 2 1 8 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 - -
Cody Zeller 12 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 5 - -
CJ Elleby 8 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Greg Brown III 6 2-6 0-3 0-2 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Ben McLemore 6 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter