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2021-10-24

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 13.9% 86.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 24.3% 75.7% - ✓
Margin 15.2% 84.8% +9.4 ✓ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% - ✓
Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 36.7% 63.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 36.7% 63.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 35.9% 64.1% - ✓

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +7 (96-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 40 12-23 3-7 3-5 6 4 1 0 30 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 35 6-10 0-0 8-8 17 2 3 1 20 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 35 6-24 2-13 0-0 14 2 2 0 14 - -
Devonte' Graham * 35 2-14 1-10 6-8 3 2 2 0 11 - -
Herbert Jones * 28 1-6 0-1 0-0 8 2 0 1 2 - -
Trey Murphy III 21 2-5 2-5 0-0 5 0 1 0 6 - -
Garrett Temple 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 2 3 - -
Jaxson Hayes 11 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 1 3 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Naji Marshall 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 36 8-22 3-8 0-0 9 5 1 1 19 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 29 5-14 2-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 28 10-20 3-6 2-2 4 2 0 3 25 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 27 2-7 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 2 4 - -
Josh Okogie * 18 0-1 0-0 0-2 5 3 2 0 0 - -
Patrick Beverley 21 2-6 1-5 0-0 3 6 1 1 5 - -
Naz Reid 19 4-12 2-6 2-2 3 0 3 1 12 - -
Malik Beasley 18 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Taurean Prince 15 1-3 1-2 0-2 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 3 0 4 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 12 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 2 0 6 - -

* = starter