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2021-10-24

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 67.8% 32.2% -
Bradley-Terry 37.4% 62.6% -
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% -
Efficiency 24.8% 75.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% -
Log Adjusted 24.2% 75.8% -
Points Off/Def 28.5% 71.5% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +15 (97-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 34 8-16 1-5 3-3 16 1 1 1 20 - -
Jerami Grant * 31 4-13 0-3 1-2 5 1 2 4 9 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 24 3-7 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 0 6 - -
Frank Jackson * 20 2-10 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Killian Hayes * 19 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 - -
Cory Joseph 20 2-7 0-2 1-2 1 3 0 1 5 - -
Kelly Olynyk 19 4-8 0-2 2-4 5 1 1 1 10 - -
Trey Lyles 19 4-7 3-5 1-2 5 0 0 1 12 - -
Josh Jackson 16 2-5 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 - -
Hamidou Diallo 13 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Saben Lee 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Luka Garza 6 1-2 0-1 1-2 2 1 2 0 3 - -
Rodney McGruder 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Jamorko Pickett 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 37 5-12 3-7 0-0 4 1 3 4 13 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 33 6-16 1-4 2-2 19 3 2 3 15 - -
Zach LaVine * 33 6-18 2-6 0-0 4 5 0 0 14 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 33 7-18 0-1 7-9 6 6 0 2 21 - -
Patrick Williams * 29 4-7 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Alex Caruso 26 3-4 2-2 4-4 0 4 5 1 12 - -
Javonte Green 18 3-3 2-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 1 2 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 10 0-3 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 - -
Alize Johnson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter