Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -8 (95-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 38 | 9-16 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 38 | 11-24 | 2-10 | 3-5 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 29 | 7-20 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 22 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 38 | 8-17 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 35 | 3-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 31 | 9-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 18 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 8 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaac Bonga | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter