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2021-10-23

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% -
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% -
Margin 22.0% 78.0% +7.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.3% 53.7% -
Log Adjusted 46.3% 53.7% -
Points Off/Def 43.7% 56.3% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +6 (101-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 35 8-22 1-6 7-7 1 7 3 0 24 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 30 5-16 2-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Clint Capela * 27 5-12 0-0 0-2 14 1 0 2 10 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 27 2-7 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
John Collins * 26 3-8 0-3 0-2 12 1 1 1 6 - -
Cam Reddish 27 7-14 3-5 2-4 6 0 0 0 19 - -
Kevin Huerter 21 2-9 0-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 - -
Gorgui Dieng 18 2-3 1-1 0-0 8 1 0 0 5 - -
Solomon Hill 12 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Delon Wright 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 4 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ricky Rubio * 35 9-15 3-7 2-2 6 8 1 0 23 - -
Evan Mobley * 35 7-12 0-2 3-3 11 1 1 4 17 - -
Jarrett Allen * 32 5-9 0-0 1-2 14 0 2 0 11 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 31 3-15 1-6 5-6 8 2 2 2 12 - -
Collin Sexton * 27 5-14 0-2 2-4 1 5 0 0 12 - -
Isaac Okoro 33 3-8 1-2 2-4 4 3 0 0 9 - -
Kevin Love 23 3-7 1-3 5-6 6 3 0 0 12 - -
Cedi Osman 20 2-9 1-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -

* = starter