Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (102-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 37 | 12-18 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 36 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 26 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 20 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 33 | 14-19 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 31 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| P.J. Dozier | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 18 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 14 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
* = starter