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2021-10-23

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 23.7% 76.3% -
Bradley-Terry 30.0% 70.0% -
Margin 28.0% 72.0% +5.2 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% -
Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% -
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% -
Points Off/Def 41.8% 58.2% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +16 (128-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 34 10-20 2-3 4-5 8 8 0 0 26 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 33 8-11 0-0 2-2 8 3 0 1 18 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 32 4-9 3-6 4-4 5 1 4 2 15 - -
Devonte' Graham * 29 7-14 6-11 1-2 6 6 0 0 21 - -
Herbert Jones * 29 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 1 6 - -
Trey Murphy III 24 2-5 1-3 0-1 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Jaxson Hayes 14 3-5 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 1 9 - -
Naji Marshall 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 2 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 11 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 7 - -
Garrett Temple 10 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Tomas Satoransky 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 35 6-11 3-8 2-2 10 10 3 1 17 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 31 9-20 0-2 8-9 6 4 0 0 26 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 31 4-11 1-4 1-2 4 5 4 2 10 - -
Zach LaVine * 31 11-19 6-9 4-5 6 5 0 1 32 - -
Patrick Williams * 24 3-5 2-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 8 - -
Alex Caruso 28 4-7 0-0 1-2 3 3 0 0 9 - -
Javonte Green 17 4-6 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 2 10 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 16 2-4 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Alize Johnson 14 3-3 0-0 2-3 8 2 0 0 8 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Tony Bradley 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -
Matt Thomas 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter