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2021-10-22

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% -
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% -
Margin 15.1% 84.9% +9.5 (41.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.4% 68.6% -
Log Adjusted 31.3% 68.7% -
Points Off/Def 33.4% 66.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -32 (83-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 36 3-10 2-5 3-3 4 9 3 1 11 - -
Scottie Barnes * 35 11-17 1-2 2-2 13 2 0 0 25 - -
OG Anunoby * 33 4-18 0-5 6-6 5 3 0 0 14 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 31 7-13 2-6 4-4 3 1 4 0 20 - -
Precious Achiuwa * 24 6-13 1-2 2-2 15 0 2 0 15 - -
Khem Birch 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 6 0 2 0 2 - -
Chris Boucher 19 4-11 1-6 2-2 7 0 2 1 11 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 14 2-5 2-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Goran Dragic 11 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Justin Champagnie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Dalano Banton 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Isaac Bonga 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 30 8-14 2-4 0-1 6 4 0 1 18 - -
Marcus Smart * 29 0-6 0-4 0-0 0 5 2 2 0 - -
Jaylen Brown * 28 3-13 0-7 3-4 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Robert Williams III * 28 4-7 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 3 9 - -
Al Horford * 24 5-12 0-3 1-1 11 2 0 4 11 - -
Dennis Schroder 22 1-4 0-2 2-2 4 4 1 0 4 - -
Josh Richardson 20 4-7 4-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 12 - -
Romeo Langford 16 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Payton Pritchard 15 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Grant Williams 10 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 5 - -
Enes Kanter 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Aaron Nesmith 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 3 1-3 1-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter