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2021-10-22

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 46.1% 53.9% -
Bradley-Terry 55.6% 44.4% -
Margin 64.4% 35.6% -3.3 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -
Efficiency 46.3% 53.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% -
Log Adjusted 48.4% 51.6% -
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +1 (135-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Duarte * 45 6-16 3-8 0-0 4 5 1 0 15 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 44 12-22 2-4 2-2 8 8 2 1 28 - -
Myles Turner * 43 15-22 5-9 5-8 10 0 1 3 40 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 42 10-13 2-4 6-8 9 7 0 1 28 - -
Justin Holiday * 20 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
T.J. McConnell 23 4-9 1-2 0-0 5 5 0 0 9 - -
Jeremy Lamb 23 3-8 1-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 9 - -
Torrey Craig 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Oshae Brissett 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Brad Wanamaker 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 38 10-17 5-8 1-2 11 2 1 0 26 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 34 13-24 6-9 2-2 6 9 0 0 34 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 34 2-4 2-4 1-1 2 2 0 0 7 - -
Aaron Holiday * 25 2-6 1-3 2-2 2 2 0 2 7 - -
Daniel Gafford * 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 8 - -
Montrezl Harrell 34 4-9 0-0 6-6 7 2 0 1 14 - -
Raul Neto 29 7-11 1-3 3-3 3 3 2 1 18 - -
Davis Bertans 23 5-13 4-9 3-3 2 1 1 0 17 - -
Deni Avdija 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Corey Kispert 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -

* = starter