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2021-10-22

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% -
Bradley-Terry 20.8% 79.2% -
Margin 12.4% 87.6% +10.7 (21.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.0% 61.0% -
Log Adjusted 38.9% 61.1% -
Points Off/Def 38.9% 61.1% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -11 (112-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 34 6-12 4-7 2-2 1 9 0 1 18 - -
Miles Bridges * 34 13-24 4-9 0-0 7 0 3 0 30 - -
LaMelo Ball * 28 8-12 1-3 0-0 3 6 5 0 17 - -
Terry Rozier * 22 1-5 0-2 4-4 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Mason Plumlee * 22 3-4 0-0 1-2 14 1 1 0 7 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 27 9-13 4-7 3-3 3 1 1 0 25 - -
P.J. Washington 24 3-8 0-2 2-2 5 3 0 0 8 - -
Cody Martin 21 4-8 0-2 2-2 8 2 2 0 10 - -
Ish Smith 17 1-5 0-0 0-2 2 8 0 0 2 - -
James Bouknight 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen McDaniels 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Nick Richards 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
JT Thor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kai Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Sexton * 34 13-21 2-7 5-5 4 1 2 0 33 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 34 5-11 2-5 1-2 5 2 0 0 13 - -
Evan Mobley * 32 4-7 0-0 5-6 5 2 2 2 13 - -
Ricky Rubio * 28 5-12 3-6 2-2 2 10 2 0 15 - -
Jarrett Allen * 26 5-6 0-0 1-1 4 2 0 0 11 - -
Isaac Okoro 25 3-5 0-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Kevin Love 23 2-8 0-3 2-2 11 4 1 1 6 - -
Cedi Osman 17 4-8 1-4 0-0 0 3 0 0 9 - -
Kevin Pangos 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dean Wade 5 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
RJ Nembhard Jr. 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Lamar Stevens 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Tacko Fall 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter