Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✓ (40.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +42 (137-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 23 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 22 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 6-10 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| George Hill * | 21 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Justin Robinson | 27 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 27 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 26 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Georgios Kalaitzakis | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 24 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 23 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 23 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 21 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 24 | 10-18 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 18 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 15 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marcus Garrett | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter