Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✓ (25.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +26 (113-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 28 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 28 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 25 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 10 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 32 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 30 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 26 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 20 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 21 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 21 | 7-15 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 14 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 3 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Sharife Cooper | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter