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2021-10-21

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 18.1% 81.9% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 50.6% 49.4% -0.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% -
Efficiency 60.9% 39.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.2% 37.8% -
Log Adjusted 62.3% 37.7% -
Points Off/Def 53.9% 46.1% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -3 (121-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 36 10-19 8-11 8-9 9 2 2 0 36 30 -
De'Aaron Fox * 36 9-22 2-8 7-10 5 8 0 1 27 19 -
Richaun Holmes * 29 9-10 1-1 2-3 11 2 1 2 21 27 -
Tyrese Haliburton * 28 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 4 -
Maurice Harkless * 22 2-6 0-3 3-3 2 0 1 1 7 5 -
Buddy Hield 30 5-9 4-7 3-4 6 2 0 0 17 16 -
Davion Mitchell 24 1-6 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 2 -
Tristan Thompson 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 6 6 -
Terence Davis 13 2-10 2-8 0-0 0 3 1 0 6 0 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 40 8-24 0-9 4-5 6 11 1 0 20 14 -
Norman Powell * 35 3-9 1-3 7-8 5 0 0 0 14 10 -
CJ McCollum * 35 14-24 6-11 0-0 6 5 3 1 34 25 -
Robert Covington * 30 3-9 2-7 0-0 4 0 0 2 8 5 -
Jusuf Nurkic * 28 6-10 1-1 7-7 14 2 0 1 20 27 -
Cody Zeller 19 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 1 5 11 -
Anfernee Simons 17 5-6 1-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 11 11 -
Larry Nance Jr. 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 4 -
Nassir Little 15 3-5 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 7 5 -

* = starter