Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✗ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -12 (98-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 13-22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 33 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 29 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 28 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| P.J. Dozier | 20 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 18 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 33 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 32 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 29 | 3-15 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson | 23 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 19 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 14 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter