Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +26 (123-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 32 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 30 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony * | 30 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba * | 27 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 18 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 27 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 26 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ignas Brazdeikis | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 30 | 6-17 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 29 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 22 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 25 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 25 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 11 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 6 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter