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2021-10-21

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 28.4% 71.6% -
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% -
Margin 24.4% 75.6% +6.2 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 31.6% 68.4% -
Efficiency 14.2% 85.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.0% 84.0% -
Log Adjusted 16.0% 84.0% -
Points Off/Def 21.9% 78.1% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +18 (124-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Wood * 32 6-15 2-6 2-4 9 3 0 1 16 - -
Jalen Green * 32 4-14 1-6 0-0 4 4 1 0 9 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 24 4-12 2-7 1-2 3 3 1 0 11 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 21 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Daniel Theis * 20 4-6 1-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 11 - -
Eric Gordon 22 6-8 3-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 15 - -
Alperen Sengun 18 3-4 0-0 5-5 6 2 3 0 11 - -
David Nwaba 17 3-7 0-2 1-4 4 2 2 0 7 - -
D.J. Augustin 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 9 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 7 - -
Josh Christopher 8 1-3 1-1 2-2 1 1 2 0 5 - -
Usman Garuba 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 2 4 - -
Armoni Brooks 8 2-4 1-3 1-1 0 0 0 0 6 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 31 10-21 6-12 3-4 6 3 1 0 29 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 29 11-15 3-4 5-5 10 2 2 2 30 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 25 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 4 3 4 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 24 6-16 4-8 6-8 3 7 1 1 22 - -
Josh Okogie * 21 2-5 0-1 2-2 5 0 2 2 6 - -
Malik Beasley 20 4-8 1-4 0-2 1 4 2 2 9 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 18 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 4 2 0 3 - -
Naz Reid 18 2-5 0-2 1-2 7 1 1 3 5 - -
Taurean Prince 16 1-3 1-3 2-2 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 15 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 1 2 0 2 - -
Jaylen Nowell 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Leandro Bolmaro 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Jake Layman 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
McKinley Wright IV 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter