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2021-10-21

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 68.0% 32.0% -
Bradley-Terry 47.6% 52.4% -
Margin 47.1% 52.9% +0.6 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 36.1% 63.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.1% 66.9% -
Log Adjusted 33.1% 66.9% -
Points Off/Def 33.5% 66.5% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +11 (132-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 38 7-13 1-2 2-3 9 6 1 1 17 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 31 4-14 2-7 0-0 9 2 1 0 10 - -
Darius Garland * 31 5-15 3-10 0-0 1 12 0 0 13 - -
Collin Sexton * 29 7-13 2-6 1-3 1 1 0 0 17 - -
Jarrett Allen * 28 11-11 0-0 3-4 4 1 3 3 25 - -
Ricky Rubio 24 4-10 3-7 1-1 4 10 1 0 12 - -
Isaac Okoro 20 3-5 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 1 8 - -
Cedi Osman 17 5-6 3-3 2-3 2 1 0 0 15 - -
Kevin Love 17 1-6 0-2 2-2 3 4 0 0 4 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 33 17-29 1-4 2-2 6 6 0 2 37 - -
Steven Adams * 31 4-7 0-0 0-0 14 3 1 1 8 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 30 3-12 3-8 4-4 6 2 0 4 13 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 30 8-14 4-6 0-0 4 3 0 0 20 - -
Desmond Bane * 29 8-16 2-6 4-4 3 3 2 0 22 - -
Kyle Anderson 21 3-7 2-5 2-2 7 4 2 0 10 - -
John Konchar 18 2-3 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 0 4 - -
Ziaire Williams 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 - -
Tyus Jones 14 4-7 1-2 0-0 2 5 1 0 9 - -
Brandon Clarke 11 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 6 - -

* = starter