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2021-10-20

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 17.9% 82.1% -
Bradley-Terry 26.0% 74.0% -
Margin 16.8% 83.2% +8.8 (23.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% -
Efficiency 29.0% 71.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.3% 71.7% -
Log Adjusted 28.3% 71.7% -
Points Off/Def 31.1% 68.9% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -15 (83-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 34 7-19 1-6 8-8 3 4 4 0 23 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 34 4-13 2-9 1-2 15 3 1 1 11 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 27 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 26 4-10 0-0 5-5 4 6 0 0 13 - -
Daniel Gafford * 22 3-3 0-0 2-3 5 0 2 4 8 - -
Montrezl Harrell 25 9-11 0-0 4-6 9 1 0 1 22 - -
Raul Neto 22 4-8 0-1 0-0 3 2 4 0 8 - -
Deni Avdija 20 3-3 1-1 1-2 7 1 2 2 8 - -
Davis Bertans 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Aaron Holiday 12 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 34 5-20 1-9 1-1 3 4 2 1 12 - -
OG Anunoby * 33 3-17 2-9 3-4 10 1 2 1 11 - -
Scottie Barnes * 32 5-13 0-1 2-3 9 1 1 0 12 - -
Goran Dragic * 21 3-7 1-2 2-2 3 4 0 0 9 - -
Precious Achiuwa * 18 3-8 0-0 0-2 7 2 1 0 6 - -
Khem Birch 26 2-4 0-0 5-6 9 0 0 0 9 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 26 2-9 1-3 1-2 2 1 3 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher 17 3-10 1-6 0-0 4 0 0 2 7 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 16 1-5 0-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Dalano Banton 12 3-4 1-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 7 - -

* = starter