🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-10-20

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 65.8% 34.2% -
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% -
Margin 63.7% 36.3% -3.1 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -
Efficiency 69.4% 30.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.2% 32.8% -
Log Adjusted 67.3% 32.7% -
Points Off/Def 57.6% 42.4% -

Actual: New York Knicks +4 (138-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 45 5-14 5-11 0-0 8 6 2 0 15 - -
Jaylen Brown * 45 16-30 8-14 6-8 9 6 3 1 46 - -
Jayson Tatum * 44 7-30 2-15 4-5 11 4 1 1 20 - -
Robert Williams III * 44 5-5 0-0 6-8 10 3 3 5 16 - -
Grant Williams * 31 6-9 3-5 0-0 5 4 1 1 15 - -
Dennis Schroder 32 5-16 1-4 1-2 3 8 2 0 12 - -
Romeo Langford 22 4-6 2-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 10 - -
Aaron Nesmith 11 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 47 6-11 3-7 4-6 5 2 0 2 19 - -
Julius Randle * 45 12-27 3-8 8-8 8 9 0 3 35 - -
Evan Fournier * 44 13-25 6-13 0-0 6 3 4 1 32 - -
Kemba Walker * 35 3-8 3-4 1-2 8 3 1 0 10 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 34 5-5 0-0 1-4 17 3 0 2 11 - -
Obi Toppin 28 6-9 0-3 2-3 5 0 0 1 14 - -
Derrick Rose 22 3-11 1-3 2-2 4 5 2 1 9 - -
Alec Burks 16 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Immanuel Quickley 8 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -
Jericho Sims 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Quentin Grimes 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter