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2021-10-20

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 19.2% 80.8% -
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% -
Margin 44.6% 55.4% +1.2 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% -
Efficiency 69.2% 30.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.7% 30.3% -
Log Adjusted 69.8% 30.2% -
Points Off/Def 59.3% 40.7% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -6 (88-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 37 8-17 1-1 0-2 7 2 3 0 17 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 35 7-21 1-4 0-0 15 4 0 0 15 - -
Zach LaVine * 35 11-17 1-5 11-11 7 4 1 1 34 - -
Lonzo Ball * 33 5-12 2-6 0-0 6 4 0 1 12 - -
Patrick Williams * 28 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Alex Caruso 27 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 3 4 2 3 - -
Javonte Green 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Alize Johnson 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 11 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 7 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 32 6-15 0-4 1-2 9 4 0 0 13 - -
Jerami Grant * 32 8-20 3-5 5-5 6 2 1 1 24 - -
Frank Jackson * 28 3-8 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 25 6-9 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 1 12 - -
Killian Hayes * 20 0-6 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 - -
Cory Joseph 27 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 2 2 1 3 - -
Kelly Olynyk 22 5-10 0-4 0-1 4 3 1 0 10 - -
Josh Jackson 18 3-7 1-3 0-1 4 2 0 1 7 - -
Trey Lyles 16 2-4 0-1 0-0 6 1 2 0 4 - -
Hamidou Diallo 15 2-5 0-1 4-4 0 1 1 1 8 - -

* = starter